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Been following the trends for several years. Longer term, my guess is IE will continue to fall to about 45% of the market, Google 25%, Firefox 20% and the rest being Safari and Opera.

Google is now 8%, up from 3% a year ago. Firefox is flat or falling slightly hence why I see them settling in around 20%.
 

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Those W3 numbers are really low and don't jibe with Statcounter and NetMarketshare.

FYI,

Statcounter which James99 link highlights is significantly different than NetMarketShare which is what I follow.

NetMarketShare has IE's share at 59.6% but still down from 75% two years ago and 95% at its peak. It also has Firefox and Google signifcantly lower that Statcounter.

Regardless of which market research firm you believe the trends are similar
 

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Those W3 numbers are really low and don't jibe with Statcounter and NetMarketshare.
I think that part of the difference you get from different samples is at least partially based upon how much you weight Europe.

With the browser choice box it's clear that there are greater numbers of Europeans who are choosing alternative browsers than North Americans. By forcing people to make a choice it's no longer automatic to go with IE, and people who are less technical may feel that this allows them to install an alternative without having to worry, while their equivilants in North America may not feel confident enough to change.
 

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You think maybe also the downward trend of IE is due to scripts & malicious code exploits?

Seems these days web developers are doing much better at non-IE support and I guess some of the above stats explain why.

I like my Firefox because I can easily disable flash & ad content. I don't really use Windows outside work so can't say if there are any IE equivalents to AdBlock.
 

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How is web browser defined in these stats? Are mobile phones counted in the overall stats? What about the iPad? IMHO these types of stats are going to become a lot less meaningful given the market share advances of tablets, smartphones, etc. I am pretty sure that I have read that China has more people accessing the net from phonesnthan from PCs! And I wouldn't be surprised if that was also the case in India.
 

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See their FAQ. They proactively track certain browsers:
BROWSERS: What browsers do you track?

To see the list of browsers currently tracked, please select the "Browser" statistic and choose the "Bar" graph option. Next click "Download Data" - the downloaded file will list all browsers currently tracked.
and they sift through all www browser strings to identify the platform:
MOBILE: How do you track mobile devices?

We track over 15 billion pageloads per month across the StatCounter network of over 3 million websites. We analyze every hit in order to gather as much information as possible. With each hit a useragent string is sent which allows us to determine the the browser and operating system used and also to establish if the hit came from a mobile device. In this way we determine the usage of mobile devices, browsers and operating systems.
http://gs.statcounter.com/faq
 

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Interesting that even the most facile, cursorial look at the graphs on the Statcounter site indicates that amongst the continents, Europe (which enforces the rule whereby Microsoft must present a fair menu choice for choosing a default web browser from amongst several makers) shows the closest competition amongst users.
 
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