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Here in Canada I suspect that some small market digital services/channels will still be only digital SD ten years from now.
Manufacturers seem to have stopped building SD only equipment. It doesn't make much sense to have the same equipment in two versions - it's easier and cheaper to offer a single SD/HD device. The equipment cost of HD is really not much higher than SD at present as far as I can tell. The big cost is the rebuild to make a production studio or master control into an HD operation. I think that over the years all the English and French networks will convert to HD because the cost will not be more than SD. The timing for HD in some operations will coincide with the need for a general technical plant rebuild. They will accumulate SD/HD equipment and operate it SD in the beginning as part of the old plant then switch to HD when they rebuild.

Low cost HD cameras (sub $10,000) are available now and offer good performance for many purposes. A small market TV station could easily use this equipment for local news and programming. These cameras record on SD cards which make them easy to use and eliminate the requirement for a real time transfer into an editing system. Just put the card into the computer and away you go. In small operations, Adobe Premiere Pro or Final Cut Pro can be used for editing. The Premiere software bundle with other useful programs is less than $2,000 and it will run on a PC with less capability than a high-end gaming machine. A lot of programming on specialty channels is shot using this kind of gear.

In 2000, HD was a really expensive proposition but over the last decade the costs have come down dramatically. The only reason for SD in 10 years will be to save bandwidth on a BDU.
 

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sorry what do you mean?If not a documentary or reality TV there is little incentive to transfer it to HD.Most all TV shows on space channele are low VHS not even DVD.

I think CSI ,NCIS ,bones ,numb3rs , law and order ,x-files, the outerlimits so on is little incentive to transfer it to HD and cost will be too high to transfer .
Your post is confusing. Several of the shows you mention (CSI, NCIS, bones, numb3rs, law and order) were originally produced and aired in HD. If x-files and outerlimits were shot on film then they can be remastered in HD. Considering the popularity of these series the HD versions may already exist.

My comment was about economy in manufacturing a single model of equipment capable of SD or HD operation. Technical people usually try to plan ahead and will purchase a device with future capability over something that just does the job provided the cost is the same or only slightly higher.
 

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The part I find total BS is the lack of competition in Canada. Postings mentioned about our smaller market and how expense it would be to convert for such a small market.

Fine. Open the market up to free competition. That will cure the problem in a big hurry.

OK, I go back on my meds now.;)
If free competition was the whole answer then all the Buffalo TV stations would have full HD capability including local origination. At present the CBS and ABC affiliates are still standard definition for news and syndicated programming. The CBS affiliate (WIVB) has good quality SD while the ABC affiliate (WKBW) still looks like it is using NTSC analog equipment. Last night CBC dumped Jeopardy! again so we switched to WKBW and my spouse commented how bad the pictured looked.

Competition is good and forces change but if the money isn't there no amount of competitive incentive will make it happen.
 
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