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Difficult to say where all this is going, but I do feel we're now slipping into a technological lull. The iPad was pretty much the last major consumer electronics breakthrough we've had. Everything being made now is just a minor point upgrade of the last device, or in some cases a product downgrade such as the iPhone 5 de-evolving into the iPhone 5C.

Here are my predictions for 2014, partially based on past events, and on what I've seen coming out of the CES.

- Apple will continue its downward spiral into a non-innovative black hole.

- Android will continue to improve in the software department, but will not create anything significantly new.

- GoogleTV will die completely. At least I hope it does! What a piece of crap!

- Windows 8 will continue to be the most widely distributed and most hated PC based OS. Expect to see some hoarding of Windows 7 licenses.

- 3D TV will vanish for another 10 years (thankfully). 3D printers however will grow in popularity, mainly in the production of sex toys at home.

- Smart watches will continue to try and find their place in the market. It's still a solution in search of a problem.

- Phones and tablets will reach a saturation point where new devices are purchased only to replace broken devices out of warranty.

- 4K will only become significant for content producers and camera manufacturers where working with higher resolution masters ensures your 1080p broadcast material will look simply stunning. GoPro could make a killing here.

- The market for self-driving cars will crash as fast as the cars themselves.

- Electric cars will continue to be an overpriced niche product for as long as it still takes 12 hours to "fill up the tank."
 

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By the time the infringement case of the Galaxy S3 gets underway, the Galaxy S5 will be on sale. Two generations behind.
So, the first "installment" of the epic battle arrived at its quasi-end.
Assuming Samsung doesn't appeal (very unlikely), it is more like $1B loss every two years. Plus, $100M to the lawyers.
http://www.phonearena.com/news/Judge-Koh-completes-930-million-damage-award-to-Apple-but-company-loses-bid-for-Samsung-injunction_id53562

And no injunction!
It looks like Koh didn't quite like the "Cry me a river" number Apple performed at the White House.
That resulted in Obama's veto on the ban of some Apple products.
http://appleinsider.com/articles/13/08/03/president-obama-vetoes-samsung-ban-on-apple-inc-iphones-ipads

So, "No injunction for you!" is the judge's game plan...:)

Considering how far Android has come, this $1B loss looks like worst case scenario (for Samsung).
It should be business as usual...
 

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Discussion Starter #27
The injunction would have been practically worthless at this point....the legal process is far longer than the product life cycle!

I don't believe Samsung has any grounds to appeal, since they admitted guilt. That admission also implies they must simply pay royalties going forward, thus avoiding legal challenges.
 

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I don't believe Samsung has any grounds to appeal, since they admitted guilt. That admission also implies they must simply pay royalties going forward...
RE:appeal
For better or for worse, real (legal) life isn't that simple...

RE: royalties.
Apple wants more than Samsung is ready to give. So they are back in court...
 

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Discussion Starter #29
Well, since they are not standards-essential, FRAND doesn't apply and Apple can charge whatever they want, and the courts don't have a say.
 

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Apple - from the same rumour mill - wants $30 per Android device made by Samsung.
It's actually more than that: $40/device (smartphone)!
http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2014/03/apples-ludicrous-demand-in-next-trial-samsung-must-pay-40-per-smartphone/
I suspect Apple wants to recover lawyer fees, too...:)

No wonder Samsung prefers to go to trial...

Nice business model: just sue a successful product!
Microsoft makes more off of Android (~$2B) than Windows Phone.
But it doesn't always work: Oracle vs. Google (Java); SCO vs.IBM (Linux)...

In related news:
Who finds the Apple vs. Samsung case boring, there is another coming
http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2014/03/google-rockstar-patent-group-controlled-by-apple-case-should-be-in-ca/
And Rockstar's real base of operations continues to be Canada!
 

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I predict Apple will fall hard. New iPhones fail to impress and the lucrative North America continues to abandon it for Android. Apple enters 2015 with their stock down below $300.
Looks like this one is going to come true... with the stock well over $500 (for some time now), Apple has announced a 7 to 1 stock split. So, I'm guessing it should still be under $300 by the time 2015 roles around. :D
 

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Lots of links have been posted in this thread so far, yet nobody has linked to the most accurate mobile phone industry forecaster ever, who has pwned all other predictors for years! Industry insider, Oxford University lecturer, ranked by Forbes Magazine as the #1 most influential mobile phone industry authority:

http://communities-dominate.blogs.com/brands/

Spend a few days in there if you really want to be properly schooled.

Enjoy
 
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