Speculation: Windows Phone will beat Android marketshare in 2013 - Page 2 - Canadian TV, Computing and Home Theatre Forums

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post #16 of 30 (permalink) Old 2011-05-13, 02:51 PM
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I think they are assuming that the Nokia WP7 handsets will just slot into where Symbian previously sat, but that's a dangerous prediction.
If so it would be an extremely stupid prediction!

Nokia’s share of smartphones in Q1 2011 was 24.3%, down from 38.8% in the first quarter of 2010.

My guess is that Nokia's share is continuing to plummet.



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post #17 of 30 (permalink) Old 2011-05-13, 04:27 PM
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Originally Posted by hugh View Post
FWIW, I will predict that Windows Phone will be under 5% marketshare in two years
Really? I'd be surprised if Windows Phone is under 10% share in 2 years, especially with the Nokia deal.

Of course, I don't think any other smartphone OS will come anywhere near Android's marketshare as Android really has become the "Windows of smartphones". I see all sorts of Android promotions from various carriers where Android phones are the primary focus of advertisements, and I know quite a few of my friends and co-workers who have purchased a smartphone in 2011 chose an Android phone. Actually, many of them were previously iPhone users.

My guess is that if Microsoft executes well on software releases, they'll be able to pull even with Apple in smartphone market share, while Android will have more market share than the two of them combined!
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post #18 of 30 (permalink) Old 2011-05-19, 07:04 PM
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After this I'm willing to bet WIN7 phones may not exist in 2013:

Gartner: Android hits 36%, just 1.6m Windows Phones sold
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post #19 of 30 (permalink) Old 2011-09-19, 09:39 PM Thread Starter
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This prediction is looking pretty hilarious.

http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1764714

Quote:
Google and Apple are the obvious winners in the smartphone ecosystem. The combined share of iOS and Android in the smartphone operating system (OS) market doubled to nearly 62 percent in the second quarter of 2011, up from just over 31 percent in the corresponding period of 2010
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post #20 of 30 (permalink) Old 2012-09-07, 09:39 AM Thread Starter
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Here are the Q212 updated numbers from Gartner.

http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=2120015

Android: 64.1%
iOS: 18.8%
Symbian: 5.9%
RIM: 5.2%
Bada: 2.7%
Microsoft: 2.7%
Others: 0.6%

Compare that to this threads analyst's predictions. Error in brackets.
Android: 31% (-33.1%)
iOS: 15% (-3.8%)
Symbian: 7% (+1.1%)
RIM: 12% (-6.8%)
Bada: NA
Microsoft: 30%(+27.3%)
Others: NA

I still find this funny.
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post #21 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-23, 08:35 AM Thread Starter
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Here are the 2Q13 results. Looks like Hugh nailed it.

http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2573415

Android: 79.0%
iOS: 14.2%
Symbian: 0.3%
BB(RIM): 2.7%
Bada: 0.4%
Microsoft: 3.3%
Others: 0.2%
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post #22 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-23, 12:13 PM
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Android's rise to dominance was predictable. The speed with which it took such a large market share is surprising. I suspect that's largely due to the fact that worldwide figures are being used. North American figures would give other operating systems a larger share.
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post #23 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-23, 12:28 PM
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According to this the US share in July 2013 was:

Code:
Android    51.8%
Apple      40.4%
Blackberry 4.3%
MS         3.0%
Symbian    0.3%
I am guessing Canadian data would skew more towards BB.
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post #24 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-23, 09:51 PM
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Canadian data was released today:

Android: 43% - +3%
iOS: 35% - no change
BB: 19% - -1%
Windows: 2%
Other: 1%
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post #25 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-23, 09:52 PM
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Ouch! There are higher proportions of BB and MS phones on display in stores than there are in people's hands!
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post #26 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-23, 11:03 PM
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I actually know someone with a Windows 7 phone, it spends most of its time turned off he hates it so much
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post #27 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-24, 07:42 AM
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^^^^
I know of one (1) person with a Windows phone. That would be my nephew and he likes it. Then again, he's never been that bright. ;-)

I haven't lost my mind. It's around here...somewhere...
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post #28 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-24, 10:03 AM
 
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I know a few folks with windows phones, and those guys love them

it's gotten to the point where I don't know anyone with a blackberry tho, where it used to be 75% had BBs
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post #29 of 30 (permalink) Old 2013-09-24, 11:18 AM
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Originally Posted by brownstar View Post
I actually know someone with a Windows 7 phone, it spends most of its time turned off he hates it so much
That's the most "believable" story I've heard recently. Why not just smash it with a hammer instead? That way he still wouldn't be able to make and receive calls, but won't have to hate it anymore?
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post #30 of 30 (permalink) Old 2015-03-03, 08:53 PM Thread Starter
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Here is an update. Q4 2014.

Code:
Android		84.4%
iOS		11.7%
Windows Phone	2.9%
BlackBerry OS	0.5%
Others		0.6%
http://www.idc.com/prodserv/smartpho...rket-share.jsp
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