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post #1 of 6 (permalink) Old 2014-02-09, 11:24 AM Thread Starter
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
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Hype Cycle

This generic graph is attributed to Gartner.

It became very popular after the NASDAQ bust that started in March 2000.
And for a short while was available on Gartner internal database (with all links) when it was offered for free shortly after 9/11.
It applies - with some variations, different time frame and amplitude - to almost any emerging technology.
https://www.google.ca/search?q=gartn...=isch&imgdii=_

Here for example is the curve for 2013
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515



Similar graphs can be found for prior years.

EDIT:
I believe streaming TV fits in right between "Internet of Things" and "Big Data"...
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post #2 of 6 (permalink) Old 2014-02-09, 12:58 PM
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Streaming video technology was proven years ago by YouTube, I would hardly call it "emerging" now. The high expectations and disappointment phase was in the post-RealPlayer and pre-YouTube trough of the early 2000's.

Here is a example of early issues: when you "scrubbed" a video and then the stream basically broke, or took like a minute to re-sync with the player, if it ever happened at all. Now scrubbing on streaming video is just as performant as scrubbing on local video.
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post #3 of 6 (permalink) Old 2014-02-11, 07:29 PM Thread Starter
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by four View Post
I believe streaming TV fits in right between "Internet of Things" and "Big Data"...
I was wrong.
According to Gartner, the closest to streaming TV - Internet TV, was on the
down-slope already in 2012, somewhere between NFC and NFC payment
http://www.nfcworld.com/2012/08/16/3...sillusionment/



In 2010 it was still climbing (hyping) http://na1.www.gartner.com/hc/images/205757_0001.gif

And for some unexplained reason it got dumped in 2013.
I guess this is the very essence of landslide takeover - you don't notice how it happens.
One moment you are in deep philosophical discussions whether 16% of anything means
a little or a lot and the next moment - bam! - and you're in streaming nirvana...

Isn't technology great!...

Now, let's brace ourselves to be pulled out of this nirvana into definition mentoring...
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post #4 of 6 (permalink) Old 2014-02-19, 04:46 PM Thread Starter
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by four View Post
...somewhere between NFC and NFC payment
NFC might get another chance
http://www.engadget.com/2014/02/19/m...bile-payments/
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post #5 of 6 (permalink) Old 2014-02-20, 06:03 PM Thread Starter
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by four View Post
..."Internet of Things" and "Big Data"...
Both terms are very misused; here is an attempt to give it some meaning...
http://www.channelregister.co.uk/201...age_fumblings/
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post #6 of 6 (permalink) Old 2014-08-12, 10:32 AM Thread Starter
 
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The latest update of the Hype Cycle curve
http://www.phonearena.com/news/Where...-cycle_id59238

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