I was in Sirius for a while.. I bought at 2.84 last spring a month before the department of justice gave their approval for the merger...
When the approval occurred, the stock shot up to 3.90 overnight. I didn't sell then because I figured the FCC approval would soon follow and push the stock even higher.
Boy was I wrong
The FCC took over half a year to decide.. During that time, the stock slipped to 1.86, then climbed back up to 2.74.. I sold at 2.74, losing 10 cents a share.. I'm GLAD I sold at that price, because right after that it went into freefall down to the .40 cent level it sits at today.
I put little faith in the analysts.. Free stock tips are often worth exactly what you pay for them. When I bought Sirius at 2.84, the analysts were predicting over $5.00 a share..
Despite getting out of Sirius, I still keep in my list of stocks that I follow.
Sirius is in serious trouble. First off, they have never made money. They owe 3 billion dollars and this debt is going to have to be refinanced in the coming years. Despite the tough economic times, It appears that the CEO has secured financing for 300 Million of the 3 billion which takes the heat off them for the first part of 2009. But the future is still murky. They still have billions of dollars in debt that will be coming due in increments. They will have to scramble for financing each time.
I'm thinking of getting back in for the short term, but I want to see the company's third quarter report before I do. If as I suspect, the economy has eroded subscriber numbers and the earnings are lower than the previous quarter, then I don't think it would be worth buying.
FWIW, Sirius should be releasing their third quarter report in the last week of October or the first week of November. If you check http://investor.sirius.com/
now and then towards the end of the month, they will post when to expect the report. It's done in the form of a conference call.. They broadcast the call on one of the Sirius channels......