On paper (today anyway) HD DVD is the underdog.
That being said, folks like us won't decide the winner (if you assume one will exist).
The general public has no knowledge of either format.
Proclaiming a BD victory because of 20 titles a month is just silly.
Once WB, Paramount and Universal stop supporting HD DVD then the war is over between the 2 HD formats. That doesn't mean BD will beat DVD.